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🌅 Pre-Breakout Signal Scan Result
NREF
Caution Breakout Imminent (Squeeze + Near Resistance) 🏷️ Real Estate sector 📅 Scanned: 2026.09.09 08:23
Pre-Breakout Score
110.0
⚠️ This risk flag is not a ranking — it reflects "chase / volatility risk if entering right now"
Watch

Few overheating or already-surging signals — relatively calm. A good stage to observe pre-breakout conditions patiently.

Caution

Some risk factors present — volatility, short-term overheating, or thin liquidity. Size and scale in carefully if entering.

High Risk

Already surged, RSI overheated, extended far from highs, or earnings imminent. Chasing now carries meaningful pullback risk.

Key Technical Indicators
RSI (14)
56
normal
ADX
33
strong trend
BB Squeeze
✓ Squeeze
bottom 15% band width
OBV Accum.
✓ 0.8x
inflow
Vol Ratio
1.5x
typical
5D Chg
+1.8%
short-term trend
1D Chg
-1.4%
vs. prior close
vs 20D High
+3.1%
near resistance
ATR%
2.7%
daily range
SPY RS 20D
+3.3%
strength vs. market
60-Day Price History
Close Volume Hover for details
Detected Signals (10)
Volatility contraction (BB bottom 15%)
OBV rising (inflow)
Trend strengthening (ADX 33↑·+DI lead)
Tight below resistance (-3.1% from high)
Mid/small-cap (<$2B)
Low float (11.4M shares)
News/catalyst present
Short volume 75% (squeeze potential)
Outperforming the market
Multi-timeframe squeeze (daily + weekly contraction)
🌅 Technical Diagnostic Summary
NREF is currently classified as 'Breakout Imminent (Squeeze + Near Resistance)' on technical indicators. RSI at 56 is neither overbought nor oversold — momentum is neutral. Bollinger Band width has contracted to the bottom 15% of its past year, consistent with energy building ahead of a possible breakout. OBV is drifting mildly higher, suggesting low-intensity accumulation at most. ADX 33 with +DI 23 / -DI 12 shows a clearly established uptrend. Volume at 1.5x average suggests order flow is concentrating around this name. Price sits 3.1% below its 20-day high, approaching that resistance level. Flagged Caution on rising volatility or short-term overheating — approach with care.
📖 How to Read These Indicators

NREF's RSI(14) currently reads 56. RSI measures the ratio of recent gains to losses over the past 14 sessions to gauge overbought or oversold conditions. Readings above 70 are typically read as overbought and below 30 as oversold — this one falls in the 'normal' range. Cross-check this against NREF's other indicators above before drawing a conclusion. → Learn more

ADX currently reads 33. ADX does not indicate direction — it measures trend strength, i.e. how pronounced a trend is (25+ is considered pronounced). Right now NREF shows +DI sits above -DI, favoring the upside, putting it in the 'strong trend' range on ADX. This reading is specific to NREF on this scan date and can change quickly. → Learn more

NREF's Bollinger Band width is in the bottom 15% (narrow) of its past year, and the squeeze indicator is currently active. This measures how tight the recent trading range is relative to where it normally sits. A squeeze is often followed by a volatility expansion in either direction. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside NREF's full indicator set. → Learn more

NREF's OBV is currently rising (0.8x), and the up/down volume ratio is 0.8x. OBV adds volume on up days and subtracts it on down days, building a running estimate of money flow. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside NREF's full indicator set. → Learn more

NREF's recent volume is running at 1.5x its usual level. The volume ratio compares recent trading volume to the stock's usual average volume — a reference point for whether order flow is concentrating around this stock. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside NREF's full indicator set. → Learn more

NREF's change over the last 5 trading days is +1.8%, and over the last 1 trading day is -1.4%. Both figures describe short-term price movement only and are not, on their own, a trading signal.

NREF's current price is 3.1% below its 20-day high. It shows how much room remains between the current price and its own 20-day high-water mark. On this measure it currently falls in the 'near resistance' category. Treat this as one data point on NREF, not a standalone signal. → Learn more

NREF's ATR% currently reads 2.7%, a 'daily range' level. ATR (Average True Range) measures the average size of a stock's daily price swings. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside NREF's full indicator set. → Learn more

NREF's 20-trading-day relative strength versus SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is +3.3%. NREF held up better than the S&P 500 over this particular window. This reading is specific to NREF on this scan date and can change quickly. → Learn more

📊 Measured Base Rates for NREF's Active Signals · Full table

Measured (n=3949), the hit-rate for Bollinger Band Squeeze (28.3%) was not statistically distinguishable from the base rate (29.3%). Treat this as one data point on NREF, not a standalone signal. → Bollinger Band Squeeze

No significant edge was measured for OBV Accumulation: 26.5% versus a 29.3% base rate across 6001 cases. Treat this as one data point on NREF, not a standalone signal. → OBV Accumulation

Measured (n=6731), the hit-rate for ADX Trend Strengthening (29.5%) was not statistically distinguishable from the base rate (29.3%). Cross-check this against NREF's other indicators above before drawing a conclusion. → ADX Trend Strengthening

No significant edge was measured for +DI Dominance: 27.0% versus a 29.3% base rate across 8370 cases. Cross-check this against NREF's other indicators above before drawing a conclusion. → +DI Dominance

Stocks holding Weekly Squeeze reached +15% 25.4% of the time, versus a 29.3% base rate — not a statistically significant difference (5281 cases). Cross-check this against NREF's other indicators above before drawing a conclusion. → Weekly Squeeze

Measured (n=1385), the hit-rate for Stage 2 Trend Template (21.4%) was not statistically distinguishable from the base rate (29.3%). As with any single metric, weigh this alongside NREF's full indicator set. → Stage 2 Trend Template

Stocks holding Off-Exchange Short 50%+ reached +15% 35.4% of the time, versus a 29.3% base rate — not a statistically significant difference (3067 cases). This reading is specific to NREF on this scan date and can change quickly. → Off-Exchange Short 50%+

No significant edge was measured for Off-Exchange Short 40%+: 36.2% versus a 29.3% base rate across 4103 cases. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside NREF's full indicator set. → Off-Exchange Short 40%+

Limitations of this page — Automatically calculated, not a stock recommendation. Score is a count of conditions met, not a prediction; base rates are historical measurements only (NREF diagnostic as of 2026.09.09 08:23).

Past Monitoring History for This Stock (last 2)
📅 2026-09-09 · #4 Entry $17.54 Caution Breakout Imminent (Squeeze + Near Resistance) AI · Peak since +0.0% Tracking 0 trading days
📅 2026-09-05 · #7 Entry $17.79 Caution Breakout Imminent (Squeeze + Near Resistance) AI · Peak since +0.1% Tracking 1 trading days

A history of past monitoring candidates — not investment advice. See the scanner's full track record here.

⚠️ This is a monitoring candidate only, not investment advice. The indicators, score, and diagnosis on this page are the result of technical screening and do not guarantee any return. Price can move up, sideways, or down from here, and any investment loss is the investor's own responsibility. Read the full disclaimer