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🌅 Pre-Breakout Signal Scan Result
SMTC
Watch Trend Strengthening 📅 Scanned: 2026.09.09 13:05
Pre-Breakout Score
12.0
⚠️ This risk flag is not a ranking — it reflects "chase / volatility risk if entering right now"
Watch

Few overheating or already-surging signals — relatively calm. A good stage to observe pre-breakout conditions patiently.

Caution

Some risk factors present — volatility, short-term overheating, or thin liquidity. Size and scale in carefully if entering.

High Risk

Already surged, RSI overheated, extended far from highs, or earnings imminent. Chasing now carries meaningful pullback risk.

Key Technical Indicators
RSI (14)
65
normal
ADX
11
weak trend
BB Squeeze
✗ Normal
35th pctile band width
OBV Accum.
✓ 1.4x
inflow
Vol Ratio
1.4x
typical
5D Chg
+22.3%
short-term trend
1D Chg
+10.0%
vs. prior close
vs 20D High
+1.7%
near resistance
ATR%
6.9%
daily range
SPY RS 20D
+24.6%
strength vs. market
60-Day Price History
Close Volume Hover for details
Detected Signals (2)
Accumulation (OBV↑·1.4x up-volume)
Strong close (small upper wick)
🌅 Technical Diagnostic Summary
SMTC is currently classified as 'Trend Strengthening' on technical indicators. RSI at 65 shows accelerating momentum, though still below overbought levels. OBV is trending up with up-day volume at 1.4x down-day volume, a sign of inflow. 20-day relative strength vs. SPY of +24.6pp is a large lead over the market — a hallmark of early institutional buying. Price sits just 1.7% below its 20-day high — a tight coil right under resistance that can precede a breakout.
📖 How to Read These Indicators

SMTC's RSI(14) currently reads 65. RSI measures the ratio of recent gains to losses over the past 14 sessions to gauge overbought or oversold conditions. Readings above 70 are typically read as overbought and below 30 as oversold — this one falls in the 'normal' range. Cross-check this against SMTC's other indicators above before drawing a conclusion. → Learn more

ADX currently reads 11. ADX quantifies how strongly a trend is persisting, independent of whether it's up or down (25+ is considered pronounced). Right now SMTC shows +DI sits above -DI, favoring the upside, putting it in the 'weak trend' range on ADX. This reading is specific to SMTC on this scan date and can change quickly. → Learn more

SMTC's Bollinger Band width is at the 35th percentile (mid-range) of its past year, and the squeeze indicator is not currently active. A Bollinger Band squeeze means price volatility has contracted well below its usual range. A squeeze is often followed by a volatility expansion in either direction. Treat this as one data point on SMTC, not a standalone signal. → Learn more

SMTC's OBV is currently rising (1.4x), and the up/down volume ratio is 1.4x. OBV is a running tally that infers buying or selling pressure purely from volume direction. Treat this as one data point on SMTC, not a standalone signal. → Learn more

SMTC's recent volume is running at 1.4x its usual level. This ratio shows how many times normal volume the stock has been trading at lately — a reference point for whether order flow is concentrating around this stock. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside SMTC's full indicator set. → Learn more

SMTC's change over the last 5 trading days is +22.3%, and over the last 1 trading day is +10.0%. These reflect only what has already happened over the past day and week, not what happens next.

SMTC's current price is 1.7% below its 20-day high. This measures, as of the 20-trading-day high, how far the current price sits from that level. On this measure it currently falls in the 'near resistance' category. Cross-check this against SMTC's other indicators above before drawing a conclusion. → Learn more

SMTC's ATR% currently reads 6.9%, a 'daily range' level. This is a running measure of how much the price typically moves in a single session. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside SMTC's full indicator set. → Learn more

SMTC's 20-trading-day relative strength versus SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is +24.6%. SMTC held up better than the S&P 500 over this particular window. Treat this as one data point on SMTC, not a standalone signal. → Learn more

📊 Measured Base Rates for SMTC's Active Signals · Full table

Stocks holding OBV Accumulation reached +15% 26.5% of the time, versus a 29.3% base rate — not a statistically significant difference (6001 cases). Treat this as one data point on SMTC, not a standalone signal. → OBV Accumulation

Measured (n=6731), the hit-rate for ADX Trend Strengthening (29.5%) was not statistically distinguishable from the base rate (29.3%). Treat this as one data point on SMTC, not a standalone signal. → ADX Trend Strengthening

No significant edge was measured for +DI Dominance: 27.0% versus a 29.3% base rate across 8370 cases. This reading is specific to SMTC on this scan date and can change quickly. → +DI Dominance

No significant edge was measured for Relative Strength +8pp (20D): 34.6% versus a 29.3% base rate across 3350 cases. Treat this as one data point on SMTC, not a standalone signal. → Relative Strength +8pp (20D)

No significant edge was measured for Stage 2 Trend Template: 21.4% versus a 29.3% base rate across 1385 cases. This reading is specific to SMTC on this scan date and can change quickly. → Stage 2 Trend Template

Avg Daily Range 4%+ has a real, measured edge here: 59.5% hit-rate versus a 29.3% base rate, from 2502 observed cases. This reading is specific to SMTC on this scan date and can change quickly. → Avg Daily Range 4%+

Measured (n=767), the hit-rate for Pocket Pivot (36.2%) was not statistically distinguishable from the base rate (29.3%). Treat this as one data point on SMTC, not a standalone signal. → Pocket Pivot

Limitations of this page — Automatically calculated, not a stock recommendation. Score is a count of conditions met, not a prediction; base rates are historical measurements only (SMTC diagnostic as of 2026.09.09 13:05).

⚠️ This is a monitoring candidate only, not investment advice. The indicators, score, and diagnosis on this page are the result of technical screening and do not guarantee any return. Price can move up, sideways, or down from here, and any investment loss is the investor's own responsibility. Read the full disclaimer