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🌅 Pre-Breakout Signal Scan Result
TSM
Watch Breakout Imminent (Squeeze + Near Resistance) 📅 Scanned: 2026.09.09 13:05
Pre-Breakout Score
73.0
⚠️ This risk flag is not a ranking — it reflects "chase / volatility risk if entering right now"
Watch

Few overheating or already-surging signals — relatively calm. A good stage to observe pre-breakout conditions patiently.

Caution

Some risk factors present — volatility, short-term overheating, or thin liquidity. Size and scale in carefully if entering.

High Risk

Already surged, RSI overheated, extended far from highs, or earnings imminent. Chasing now carries meaningful pullback risk.

Key Technical Indicators
RSI (14)
62
normal
ADX
9
weak trend
BB Squeeze
✓ Squeeze
bottom 6% band width
OBV Accum.
✓ 0.8x
inflow
Vol Ratio
1.4x
typical
5D Chg
+5.7%
short-term trend
1D Chg
+2.4%
vs. prior close
vs 20D High
+1.2%
near resistance
ATR%
2.7%
daily range
SPY RS 20D
+5.7%
strength vs. market
60-Day Price History
Close Volume Hover for details
Detected Signals (6)
Bollinger Band squeeze
OBV rising (inflow)
Tight below resistance (-1.2% from high)
Outperforming the market
Gap breakout above 20-day high (gap +2.1%)
Multi-timeframe squeeze (daily + weekly contraction)
🌅 Technical Diagnostic Summary
Technical screening flags a 'Breakout Imminent (Squeeze + Near Resistance)' setup on TSM. RSI at 62 shows accelerating momentum, though still below overbought levels. Bollinger Band width has contracted to the bottom 6% of its past year — an unusually extreme squeeze that often precedes a sharp volatility move. OBV is drifting mildly higher, suggesting low-intensity accumulation at most. 20-day RS vs. SPY of +5.7pp shows relative strength versus the market. Price sits just 1.2% below its 20-day high — a tight coil right under resistance that can precede a breakout.
📖 How to Read These Indicators

TSM's RSI(14) currently reads 62. RSI measures the ratio of recent gains to losses over the past 14 sessions to gauge overbought or oversold conditions. Readings above 70 are typically read as overbought and below 30 as oversold — this one falls in the 'normal' range. Cross-check this against TSM's other indicators above before drawing a conclusion. → Learn more

ADX currently reads 9. ADX does not indicate direction — it measures trend strength, i.e. how pronounced a trend is (25+ is considered pronounced). Right now TSM shows +DI sits above -DI, favoring the upside, putting it in the 'weak trend' range on ADX. This reading is specific to TSM on this scan date and can change quickly. → Learn more

TSM's Bollinger Band width is in the bottom 6% (narrow) of its past year, and the squeeze indicator is currently active. A Bollinger Band squeeze means price volatility has contracted well below its usual range. A squeeze is often followed by a volatility expansion in either direction. Treat this as one data point on TSM, not a standalone signal. → Learn more

TSM's OBV is currently rising (0.8x), and the up/down volume ratio is 0.8x. OBV is a running tally that infers buying or selling pressure purely from volume direction. Treat this as one data point on TSM, not a standalone signal. → Learn more

TSM's recent volume is running at 1.4x its usual level. The volume ratio compares recent trading volume to the stock's usual average volume — a reference point for whether order flow is concentrating around this stock. Treat this as one data point on TSM, not a standalone signal. → Learn more

TSM's change over the last 5 trading days is +5.7%, and over the last 1 trading day is +2.4%. These two numbers show recent short-term direction but say nothing about where the price goes next.

TSM's current price is 1.2% below its 20-day high. This gap to the recent high is often watched as a proxy for nearby resistance. On this measure it currently falls in the 'near resistance' category. Treat this as one data point on TSM, not a standalone signal. → Learn more

TSM's ATR% currently reads 2.7%, a 'daily range' level. ATR captures typical day-to-day volatility in dollar (here, percentage) terms. This reading is specific to TSM on this scan date and can change quickly. → Learn more

TSM's 20-trading-day relative strength versus SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is +5.7%. TSM held up better than the S&P 500 over this particular window. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside TSM's full indicator set. → Learn more

📊 Measured Base Rates for TSM's Active Signals · Full table

Stocks holding Bollinger Band Squeeze reached +15% 28.3% of the time, versus a 29.3% base rate — not a statistically significant difference (3949 cases). Cross-check this against TSM's other indicators above before drawing a conclusion. → Bollinger Band Squeeze

No significant edge was measured for OBV Accumulation: 26.5% versus a 29.3% base rate across 6001 cases. Treat this as one data point on TSM, not a standalone signal. → OBV Accumulation

Measured (n=6731), the hit-rate for ADX Trend Strengthening (29.5%) was not statistically distinguishable from the base rate (29.3%). As with any single metric, weigh this alongside TSM's full indicator set. → ADX Trend Strengthening

No significant edge was measured for +DI Dominance: 27.0% versus a 29.3% base rate across 8370 cases. This reading is specific to TSM on this scan date and can change quickly. → +DI Dominance

No significant edge was measured for 20-Day High Gap Breakout: 36.9% versus a 29.3% base rate across 157 cases. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside TSM's full indicator set. → 20-Day High Gap Breakout

No significant edge was measured for Weekly Squeeze: 25.4% versus a 29.3% base rate across 5281 cases. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside TSM's full indicator set. → Weekly Squeeze

No significant edge was measured for Stage 2 Trend Template: 21.4% versus a 29.3% base rate across 1385 cases. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside TSM's full indicator set. → Stage 2 Trend Template

Stocks holding Pocket Pivot reached +15% 36.2% of the time, versus a 29.3% base rate — not a statistically significant difference (767 cases). This reading is specific to TSM on this scan date and can change quickly. → Pocket Pivot

Limitations of this page — Automatically calculated, not a stock recommendation. Score is a count of conditions met, not a prediction; base rates are historical measurements only (TSM diagnostic as of 2026.09.09 13:05).

⚠️ This is a monitoring candidate only, not investment advice. The indicators, score, and diagnosis on this page are the result of technical screening and do not guarantee any return. Price can move up, sideways, or down from here, and any investment loss is the investor's own responsibility. Read the full disclaimer