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Pre-Breakout Signal Scan Result
ESTC
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Caution Squeeze near resistance View chart Technology sector Scanned: 2026.10.24 08:19
Pre-Breakout Score
93.0

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⚠️ This risk flag is not a ranking — it reflects "chase / volatility risk if entering right now"
Low risk

Few overheating or already-surging signals — relatively calm. A good stage to observe pre-breakout conditions patiently.

Caution

Some risk factors present — volatility, short-term overheating, or thin liquidity. Size and scale in carefully if entering.

High Risk

Already surged, RSI overheated, extended far from highs, or earnings imminent. Chasing now carries meaningful pullback risk.

Key Technical Indicators
RSI (14)
64
normal
ADX
36
strong trend
BB Squeeze
✓ Squeeze
bottom 20% band width
OBV Accum.
✓ 1.1x
inflow
Vol Ratio
1.1x
typical
5D Chg
+11.7%
short-term trend
1D Chg
+4.3%
vs. prior close
vs 20D High
-0.2%
near resistance
ATR%
4.2%
daily range
SPY RS 20D
+17.7%
strength vs. market
Daily · as of US close Oct 23 60-Day Price History
Close Volume Hover for details
Detected Signals (9)
Bollinger Band squeeze
OBV rising (inflow)
Trend strengthening (ADX 36↑·+DI lead)
Tight below resistance (-0.2% from high)
Strong close (small upper wick)
Short volume 74%
Strong RS (+17.7%p vs SPY · no breakout yet)
Short-term RS strength (5-day +12.1%p vs SPY)
Multi-timeframe squeeze (daily + weekly contraction)
Technical Diagnostic Summary
Technical screening flags a 'Breakout Imminent (Squeeze + Near Resistance)' setup on ESTC. RSI at 64 shows accelerating momentum, though still below overbought levels. Bollinger Band width has contracted to the bottom 20% of its past year, consistent with energy building ahead of a possible breakout. OBV is drifting mildly higher, suggesting low-intensity accumulation at most. ADX 36 with +DI 32 / -DI 10 shows a clearly established uptrend. 20-day relative strength vs. SPY of +17.7pp is a large lead over the market — consistent with early buying pressure (the buyer type isn't identified). Price sits just 0.2% below its 20-day high — a tight coil right under resistance that can precede a breakout. Flagged Caution on rising volatility or short-term overheating — approach with care.
How to Read These Indicators

ESTC's RSI(14) currently reads 64. RSI is a momentum indicator that reflects how often and how sharply a stock has been rising lately. Readings above 70 are typically read as overbought and below 30 as oversold — this one falls in the 'normal' range. Treat this as one data point on ESTC, not a standalone signal. → Learn more

ADX currently reads 36. ADX quantifies how strongly a trend is persisting, independent of whether it's up or down (25+ is considered pronounced). Right now ESTC shows +DI sits above -DI, favoring the upside, putting it in the 'strong trend' range on ADX. This reading is specific to ESTC on this scan date and can change quickly. → Learn more

ESTC's Bollinger Band width is in the bottom 20% (narrow) of its past year, and the squeeze indicator is currently active. Band-width contraction (a squeeze) means the stock has been trading in an unusually tight range lately. A squeeze is often followed by a volatility expansion in either direction. Cross-check this against ESTC's other indicators above before drawing a conclusion. → Learn more

ESTC's OBV is currently rising (1.1x), and the up/down volume ratio is 1.1x. OBV (On-Balance Volume) uses the cumulative direction of volume to estimate accumulation or distribution. This reading is specific to ESTC on this scan date and can change quickly. → Learn more

ESTC's recent volume is running at 1.1x its usual level. The volume ratio compares recent trading volume to the stock's usual average volume — a reference point for whether order flow is concentrating around this stock. Treat this as one data point on ESTC, not a standalone signal. → Learn more

ESTC's change over the last 5 trading days is +11.7%, and over the last 1 trading day is +4.3%. These reflect only what has already happened over the past day and week, not what happens next.

ESTC's current price is 0.2% below its 20-day high. It shows how much room remains between the current price and its own 20-day high-water mark. On this measure it currently falls in the 'near resistance' category. Treat this as one data point on ESTC, not a standalone signal. → Learn more

ESTC's ATR% currently reads 4.2%, a 'daily range' level. ATR captures typical day-to-day volatility in dollar (here, percentage) terms. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside ESTC's full indicator set. → Learn more

ESTC's 20-trading-day relative strength versus SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is +17.7%. ESTC gained more (or lost less) than SPY over this stretch. This reading is specific to ESTC on this scan date and can change quickly. → Learn more

Measured Base Rates for ESTC's Active Signals · Full table

Measured (n=7328), the hit-rate for Bollinger Band Squeeze (22.5%) was not statistically distinguishable from the base rate (24.7%). This reading is specific to ESTC on this scan date and can change quickly. → Bollinger Band Squeeze

Stocks holding OBV Accumulation reached +15% 24.7% of the time, versus a 24.7% base rate — not a statistically significant difference (9096 cases). As with any single metric, weigh this alongside ESTC's full indicator set. → OBV Accumulation

No significant edge was measured for ADX Trend Strengthening: 24.5% versus a 24.7% base rate across 11420 cases. Cross-check this against ESTC's other indicators above before drawing a conclusion. → ADX Trend Strengthening

No significant edge was measured for +DI Dominance: 24.6% versus a 24.7% base rate across 12815 cases. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside ESTC's full indicator set. → +DI Dominance

Measured (n=8568), the hit-rate for Weekly Squeeze (22.3%) was not statistically distinguishable from the base rate (24.7%). This reading is specific to ESTC on this scan date and can change quickly. → Weekly Squeeze

No significant edge was measured for Relative Strength +8pp (20D): 31.7% versus a 24.7% base rate across 5325 cases. As with any single metric, weigh this alongside ESTC's full indicator set. → Relative Strength +8pp (20D)

Stocks holding Stage 2 Trend Template reached +15% 14.8% of the time, versus a 24.7% base rate — not a statistically significant difference (3790 cases). Treat this as one data point on ESTC, not a standalone signal. → Stage 2 Trend Template

Stocks holding Off-Exchange Short 50%+ reached +15% 23.8% of the time, versus a 24.7% base rate — not a statistically significant difference (8571 cases). Cross-check this against ESTC's other indicators above before drawing a conclusion. → Off-Exchange Short 50%+

Measured (n=11566), the hit-rate for Off-Exchange Short 40%+ (24.2%) was not statistically distinguishable from the base rate (24.7%). Treat this as one data point on ESTC, not a standalone signal. → Off-Exchange Short 40%+

Limitations of this page — Automatically calculated, not a stock recommendation. Score is a count of conditions met, not a prediction; base rates are historical measurements only (ESTC diagnostic as of 2026.10.24 08:19).

⚠️ This is a monitoring candidate only, not investment advice. The indicators, score, and diagnosis on this page are the result of technical screening and do not guarantee any return. Price can move up, sideways, or down from here, and any investment loss is the investor's own responsibility. Read the full disclaimer