A pocket pivot is an institutional buy signal
This pattern is often described as unusually strong volume during a short-term pullback or consolidation.
Result
Volatility illusion — The observed move was consistent with volatility, without a clearer directional difference.
- Observed up-rate
- 47.6%
- Volatility-matched expected rate
- 49.0%
- 95% lift interval
- 0.96 ~ 0.99x
- Signals · symbols · dates
- 41,716 · 5,830 · 259
As of 2026-10-22 · Observed period 2025-09-29 to 2026-10-22
Source: DawnScan daily scan records and daily price records
Rule definition
An event is an up day whose volume exceeded the largest down-day volume of the prior 10 trading days.
Why people use this rule
This pattern is often described as unusually strong volume during a short-term pullback or consolidation.
Results by market regime
| Regime | Cases | Observed | Expected | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 10,220 | 44.1% | 44.2% | No difference |
| Risk-off | 2,419 | 67.8% | 73.2% | Not enough data |
| Risk-on | 29,077 | 47.2% | 48.6% | Volatility illusion |
Recent confirmed cases
| Date | Symbol | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | VSME | +28.1% Delisted (last recorded value) |
| 2026-10-21 | ACA | +0.1% Delisted (last recorded value) |
| 2026-10-16 | NATH | +0.1% Delisted (last recorded value) |
| 2026-10-13 | ATIIU | -30.6% Delisted (last recorded value) |
| 2026-10-09 | QETA | -31.1% Delisted (last recorded value) |
| 2026-10-08 | WEAV | +0.1% Delisted (last recorded value) |
| 2026-10-08 | GREEL | +0.0% Delisted (last recorded value) |
| 2026-10-07 | XRPNU | -30.5% Delisted (last recorded value) |
| 2026-10-07 | SKK | +19.7% Delisted (last recorded value) |
| 2026-10-02 | ZNB | -71.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | YYAI | -32.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | YB | -13.4% |
| 2026-10-02 | XPOF | -5.1% |
| 2026-10-02 | WRAP | -17.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | WK | +17.4% |
| 2026-10-02 | WEA | -1.7% |
| 2026-10-02 | WCN | +19.7% |
| 2026-10-02 | VVR | -0.7% |
| 2026-10-02 | VST | -1.2% |
| 2026-10-02 | VSAT | +7.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | VINP | -6.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | VELO | -41.4% |
| 2026-10-02 | VECO | -32.3% |
| 2026-10-02 | UWMC | +24.6% |
| 2026-10-02 | USFD | +6.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | UAA | +5.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | TSLA | +7.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | TFPM | -8.1% |
| 2026-10-02 | TER | -38.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | TBCH | +14.7% |
Method and limitations
Definition: An event is an up day whose volume exceeded the largest down-day volume of the prior 10 trading days.
Historical outcomes only. The sample may reflect a limited market regime. Results do not account for stops, position sizing, fees, or taxes.
Past data · not investment advice