Bullish RSI divergence is a reversal signal
Some traders look for price and RSI to move in different directions as a possible change in momentum.
Result
No difference — The test did not establish a difference from the matched baseline.
- Observed up-rate
- 50.0%
- Volatility-matched expected rate
- 50.1%
- 95% lift interval
- 0.98 ~ 1.02x
- Signals · symbols · dates
- 15,630 · 4,942 · 248
As of 2026-10-02 · Observed period 2025-09-29 to 2026-10-02
Source: DawnScan daily scan records and daily price records
Rule definition
An event is a lower closing low over the last 5 trading days than over the 10 days before it, while the RSI low over the same windows was higher.
Why people use this rule
Some traders look for price and RSI to move in different directions as a possible change in momentum.
Results by market regime
| Regime | Cases | Observed | Expected | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3,667 | 45.7% | 44.8% | No difference |
| Risk-off | 1,894 | 78.2% | 75.2% | Not enough data |
| Risk-on | 10,069 | 46.3% | 47.2% | No difference |
Verdict history
Solid line: observed rate · dashed line: volatility-matched expected rate.
Recent confirmed cases
| Date | Symbol | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | ZURA | -1.7% |
| 2026-10-02 | ZBIO | +0.3% |
| 2026-10-02 | XEL | +11.8% |
| 2026-10-02 | WIA | +0.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | VG | +12.6% |
| 2026-10-02 | UVE | +10.4% |
| 2026-10-02 | UPWK | +13.7% |
| 2026-10-02 | TRTX | +5.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | TRT | -20.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | SOHU | +4.3% |
| 2026-10-02 | SMTK | -83.2% |
| 2026-10-02 | SLM | -21.8% |
| 2026-10-02 | SKYQ | -9.3% |
| 2026-10-02 | SKT | +4.7% |
| 2026-10-02 | SHW | +4.1% |
| 2026-10-02 | RWT | -11.3% |
| 2026-10-02 | RETO | -64.1% |
| 2026-10-02 | RCKT | -4.7% |
| 2026-10-02 | PRKS | -5.1% |
| 2026-10-02 | PRCT | +11.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | POST | +14.7% |
| 2026-10-02 | PHK | -1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | PHIN | +5.3% |
| 2026-10-02 | PHAT | -17.1% |
| 2026-10-02 | PCVX | +9.8% |
| 2026-10-02 | PCAR | -7.1% |
| 2026-10-02 | PBLS | -6.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | PBA | +11.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | OVID | +6.7% |
| 2026-10-02 | ORI | +1.2% |
Method and limitations
Definition: An event is a lower closing low over the last 5 trading days than over the 10 days before it, while the RSI low over the same windows was higher.
Historical outcomes only. The sample may reflect a limited market regime. Results do not account for stops, position sizing, fees, or taxes.
Past data · not investment advice