A stochastic turn up from oversold means a bounce
A turn upward from a low oscillator reading is often interpreted as momentum improving.
Result
No difference — The test did not establish a difference from the matched baseline.
- Observed up-rate
- 49.0%
- Volatility-matched expected rate
- 48.5%
- 95% lift interval
- 0.99 ~ 1.03x
- Signals · symbols · dates
- 35,961 · 5,487 · 256
As of 2026-10-09 · Observed period 2025-09-29 to 2026-10-09
Source: DawnScan daily scan records and daily price records
Rule definition
An event is a day on which the stochastic oscillator turned up from the oversold zone.
Why people use this rule
A turn upward from a low oscillator reading is often interpreted as momentum improving.
Results by market regime
| Regime | Cases | Observed | Expected | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 8,286 | 43.0% | 42.5% | No difference |
| Risk-off | 2,784 | 73.4% | 73.2% | Not enough data |
| Risk-on | 24,636 | 48.2% | 47.7% | No difference |
| Other | 255 | 52.9% | 48.4% | Not enough data |
Recent confirmed cases
| Date | Symbol | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | IHD | -0.9% Delisted (last recorded value) |
| 2026-10-08 | LRHC | -40.3% Delisted (last recorded value) |
| 2026-10-02 | ZTS | +14.4% |
| 2026-10-02 | ZBH | +7.1% |
| 2026-10-02 | YELP | +4.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | XMAX | -25.3% |
| 2026-10-02 | WYFI | -42.2% |
| 2026-10-02 | WRN | -27.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | WHF | +14.2% |
| 2026-10-02 | WEX | +9.2% |
| 2026-10-02 | VVX | +13.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | VTR | +0.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | VOXR | -8.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | VLTO | +17.3% |
| 2026-10-02 | VIVO | -29.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | VCIG | -87.7% |
| 2026-10-02 | VBNK | -2.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | UPBD | +33.4% |
| 2026-10-02 | TRVG | -23.3% |
| 2026-10-02 | TRNO | +1.6% |
| 2026-10-02 | TRIN | -3.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | TREE | +13.4% |
| 2026-10-02 | TLSI | -14.4% |
| 2026-10-02 | TLRY | -29.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | TFPM | -8.1% |
| 2026-10-02 | TCMD | +4.3% |
| 2026-10-02 | TATT | -9.6% |
| 2026-10-02 | SUI | +2.3% |
| 2026-10-02 | STN | +7.2% |
| 2026-10-02 | STIM | +4.2% |
Method and limitations
Definition: An event is a day on which the stochastic oscillator turned up from the oversold zone.
Historical outcomes only. The sample may reflect a limited market regime. Results do not account for stops, position sizing, fees, or taxes.
Past data · not investment advice